Since the first year of production and sales of vehicle engines entered negative growth year-on-year in August, despite experiencing an increase of more than 20% in the production and sales volume in September, the overall market has not really looked up in the weak. With the spread of the effects of the international financial crisis and the deepening impact on the real economy, despite the fact that the country’s macroeconomic policies have rapidly shifted from “one guarantee and one control†in the previous two months to “do everything in its powerâ€, the domestic vehicle engine has been in October. The monthly output has returned to below 600,000 units. From August to October, there was continuous negative growth year-on-year in the first three months of recent years. In recent months, the year-on-year increase in cumulative engine production has tended to decline: 18.94% in July, 15.81% in August, 13.56% in September, and 11.10% in October. It can be expected that if the average output of the last two months of 2008 is still less than 600,000 units, the increase in the final total engine output this year will fall below the double digits for the first time in recent years.
According to the latest issue of the "China's auto industry production and sales newsletter" of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the growth rate of production and sales is basically the same as that of the entire vehicle market. From January to October 2008, 54 domestic automobile engine companies included in the statistics accumulated production of the engine 737.86. Million units, accumulatively sold 7,194,100 units of engines, an increase of 11.10% and 12.56% respectively over the same period of 2007. Compared with the cumulative increase of both sales and sales of more than 20% in the middle of this year, the rate of increase from January to October decreased by about 10%.
As of the end of October 2008, of a total of 54 engine companies, Guangxi Yuchai, FAW-Volkswagen, Changan Automobile, Liuzhou Wuling Liuji, FAW Group, Harbin Dongan Automobile Engine, Shanghai Volkswagen, Chery Automobile, FAW Toyota (Tianjin) Engine , Dongfeng Honda Engine, GAC Toyota Engine, Beijing Hyundai, Shanghai General Motors Powertrain, Dongfeng Nissan Passenger Vehicle and Shanghai General Motors ranked among the top 15 in terms of accumulated production volume in the first 10 months. Compared with the end of August, the rankings of FAW Toyota (Tianjin) engine, Dongfeng Honda engine and GAC Toyota engine all improved, while the rankings of Liuzhou Wuling Liuji and Beijing Hyundai have regressed. The performance of these several passenger cars on the market is the same. Here, the Japanese car can be more "squeaky" in the financial crisis. It seems that the engine market can see some clues.
From the perspective of large production enterprises, there are 27 companies that have accumulated more than 100,000 units (with an average monthly output of 10,000 units or more) in the first 10 months. This figure is the same as that in June, indicating that the company has Most of the gasoline-powered gasoline engine manufacturers have not fallen badly; in the first 10 months, 15 companies have accumulated production of more than 200,000 units (with an average monthly output of more than 20,000 units), a decrease of 2% from June. Home; In the first 10 months, there were 6 enterprises with a cumulative production capacity of more than 300,000 units (with an average monthly output of 30,000 units or more), and a similar reduction of 2 companies; cumulative production exceeded 400,000 units in the first 10 months (average monthly production). There are only 2 companies left with more than 40,000 units, which is still 2 less than in June. From the above data, the overall market size is indeed shrinking.
From the point of view of production concentration, the cumulative production concentration of the top 5 companies in the cumulative production ranking for the first 10 months was 26.63%, which was 0.29 percentage points lower than in August; the accumulated production concentration of the top 10 companies in the first 10 months was ranked. It was 52.66%, down by 0.08 percentage point from August. While the market is in the doldrums, the concentration of production is still declining, indicating that this financial crisis does not seem to have hurt the business.
According to the type of fuel, the diesel engines in the first 10 months completed a total of 1.909 million units and 1.9423 million units respectively, an increase of 13.93% and 16.30% respectively year-on-year. Although the increase in the production of diesel engines is still higher than that of gasoline engines, the growth rate of the diesel engine market has also surpassed that of gasoline engines.
From the performance of diesel engine companies, of the 25 diesel engine companies included in the statistics for the first 10 months of 2008, the average monthly production reached 10,000 units, which is still 7 companies, which is equivalent to the end of the first half of the year. The rankings of the top 7 manufacturers in terms of cumulative production are still: Guangxi Yuchai, FAW Group, Weichai Holdings, Kunming Yunnei, Dongfeng Motor, Dongfeng Chaochai, and CNHTC. Companies ranked 8 to 10 are also Jiangxi Jiangling, Yangchai and Beiqi Foton.
Among several diesel engine manufacturers with relatively large production volume, the accumulated year-on-year growth rate remained at a relatively high level: Shandong Laidong (56.64%), Weichai Holdings (32.49%), China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (31.10%), Dongfeng Motor Co., Ltd. (30.17%) and FAW Group (23.13%); companies that have dropped sharply in September from the previous month in September are Weichai Holdings (-64.60%), Beiqi Foton (-60.97%), China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (-48.04%), Kunming Yunnei (-37.87%), Shandong Laidong (-34.16%), Jiangxi Jiangling (-25.79%), and Guangxi Yuchai (-25.28%); the company that experienced a year-on-year decline in October was Beiqi Futian (-60.53%) ), Guangxi Yuchai (-34.20%), Weichai Holdings (-26.84%), Dongfeng Motors (-24.55%) and Kunming Yunnei (-22.15%). During the month of August, two Steyr-based engines, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Holdings, which are still relatively stable, have seen a faster decline than the entire vehicle market. Several other major diesel companies also There have been different degrees of decline.
In the case of gasoline engines, the cumulative production and sales volume in the first 10 months of 2008 were 5,464,200 units and 5,527,400 units respectively, an increase of 10.12% and 11.28% over the same period of the previous year. Of the 39 petrol engine companies in the statistics, FAW-Volkswagen, Changan Automobile, Liuzhou Wuling Liuji, Harbin Dongan Automobile Engine, Shanghai Volkswagen, Chery Automobile, FAW Toyota (Tianjin) Engine, Dongfeng Honda Engine, GAC Toyota Engine, Beijing Hyundai , Shanghai General Motors Powertrain, Dongfeng Nissan Passenger Vehicles, Shanghai General Motors, Harbin Dongan Automobile Power and Geely Holdings are ranked in the top 15 in terms of production volume. Among them, FAW-Volkswagen has secured its position since August, and FAW Toyota (Tianjin) Engine, Dongfeng Honda Engine, and GAC Toyota Engine have shown positive results. As the passenger car market fluctuates less than the commercial vehicle market, the performance of the overall gasoline engine market is slightly more stable than that of the diesel engine market.
In terms of production volume, in the first 10 months of 2008, of the companies with a cumulative output of more than 100,000 units (ie, an average monthly output of more than 10,000 units), the cumulative output has maintained a high level of year-on-year growth in the FAW Toyota (Tianjin) engine ( 49.64%), Dongfeng Honda Automobile (39.73%), Dongfeng Nissan Passenger Vehicle (35.36%), Harbin Dongan Automobile Engine (30.01%) and Beijing Hyundai (23.33%). Among the companies with a cumulative production volume of nearly 100,000 units, Chongqing Changan Suzuki (53.22%) and FAW Car (48.35%) also maintained a relatively high growth rate. In August, the cumulative output growth was at the forefront of Chery Automobile. The cumulative output changed from a positive growth of 26.20% from January to August to a negative growth of -1.98% from January to October. From January to October, the cumulative decline in cumulative production was the Shenyang Aerospace Mitsubishi Motors (-27.30%) and Changan Ford Mazda (-20.49%).
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